Julian Alonso vs Mariano Dedura-Palomero Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Julian Alonso's recent second serve performance shows a win rate of 43.77%, while Mariano Dedura-Palomero stands at 36.07%. Could this give Alonso an edge? It appears so, as this metric strongly correlates with match success.
• Both players' return game shows Alonso leading; he wins 47.57% on opponents' second serves versus Dedura-Palomero's 45.55%. On first serve returns, Alonso also has the upper hand at 27.99% against 25.60%.
• In pressure situations, such as breakpoints, Alonso has saved 57.97% compared to Dedura-Palomero’s 56.04%. Will this make a difference in tight games? Likely yes.
• Alonso has a significantly higher match win rate over the past year at 70.59% (W/L 24/10) compared to Dedura-Palomero’s 42.86% (W/L 9/12).
• Alonso excels on Hard courts with a 64% win rate, whereas Dedura-Palomero's best surface is Clay, also at 64%.
• Regarding event level, Alonso has consistently performed well in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K with a win rate of 70.59%, outpacing Dedura-Palomero’s competitive wins/losses.
• Alonso has faced stronger opponents on average, with their ranks around 137.29 compared to Dedura-Palomero’s 329.
• If this match goes to a deciding set, Alonso holds a 60% win rate in the final set scenario, greatly surpassing Dedura-Palomero’s 33% win rate in similar situations.
• In terms of breakpoint conversion, Alonso’s rate is 33.72%, while Dedura-Palomero’s stands at 25.00%, giving Alonso an advantage in decisive moments during the match.

Editorial Prediction (November 18, 2025, UTC):

The data indicates Julian Alonso holds several advantages over Mariano Dedura-Palomero. His superior performance on second serves suggests higher reliability in maintaining service games, crucial for competitive matches.

Alonso's return game efficiency can pressure Dedura-Palomero in his service games, especially considering his higher percentage of points won on both first and second serve returns.

Alonso’s overall match win rate and performance under pressure are additional indicators of his dominance. Facing tougher opponents regularly has likely prepared Alonso for high-stakes scenarios.

Although Dedura-Palomero is strong on Clay, the current conditions suggest Alonso's consistent play and mental fortitude in crucial moments make him the favorite to win this upcoming match.